Some Advance in Earthquake Prediction

Imminent earthquake prediction is to determine the three elements, when, where and the magnitude of an earthquake that would happened in 10 days. The institute has made those predictions continuously for more than 20 years by using multidiscipline observing method. Currently the method can predict one or two elements of the three by synthesizing all observed abnormal indictors. The successful predictions include Baotou M_s6.4 earthquake in 1996, Xinjiang Jiashi M_s6.3-6.6 strong group earthquake in 1997, Japan Yi-dou Island M_s6.4 in 2000, Taiwan M_s 7.5 in 2001. Some breakthrough were made in predicting earthquakes bursting several thousands miles away, which had been regarded as a world wide difficult problem. This paper presented, assessed and summarized some yearly and imminent prediction from 2003 according to the specific grade standard.