Citation: | WANG Baichuan, DU Chuang. Research on the Characteristics, Influencing Factors and Government Role in Artificial Intelligence Technology Innovation Diffusion: Based on the Data of A-Share Listed Companies[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2022, 22(3): 142-158. DOI: 10.12120/bjutskxb202203142 |
Based on the annual reports of Chinese A-share listed companies, this paper uses machine learning technology to identify the list of AI listed companies, and reveals the general characteristics of China′ s AI innovation diffusion: (1) The diffusion of AI technology innovation in China showed an inflection point in 2016 and 2017; (2) There is head effect in the application of AI technology in China, and intelligent security has become the most popular industry. Secondly, this paper analyzes the factors influencing the diffusion of AI technology. Then the paper constructs the panel data from 2015 to 2019, and makes empirical analysis using the panel probit model. The results show that the impact of firm size on innovation diffusion is inverted U-shaped. Firm′s R & D capability has no significant effect. Competitive market structure and government subsidy can promote innovation diffusion. AI technology has network externalities. The positive mechanism of government subsidies and other relevant policies lies in reducing firm′s technology conversion costs, promoting listed companies to form new market expectations, and leading to a positive feedback cycle of technology application. As China′s economy enters a stage of high-quality development, it is necessary for policies related to AI to shift from industrial policy to competition policy, and give full play to the decisive role of the market in resource allocation.
[1] |
陈彦彬, 林晨, 陈小亮. 人工智能、老龄化与经济增长[J]. 经济研究, 2019, 54(7): 47-63. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-5719.2019.07.045
|
[2] |
蔡跃洲, 陈楠. 新技术革命下人工智能与高质量增长、高质量就业[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2019, 36(5): 3-22. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SLJY201905001.htm
|
[3] |
郭敏, 方梦然. 人工智能与生产率悖论: 国际经验[J]. 经济体制改革, 2018(5): 171-178. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJTG201805027.htm
|
[4] |
郭凯明. 人工智能发展、产业结构转型升级与劳动收入份额变动[J]. 管理世界, 2019, 35(7): 60-77, 202-203. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5502.2019.07.007
|
[5] |
彭莹莹, 汪昕宇. 人工智能技术对制造业就业的影响效应分析--基于中国广东省制造企业用工总量与结构的调查[J]. 北京工业大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, 20(5): 68-76. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-BGYS202005009.htm
|
[6] |
惠炜, 姜伟. 人工智能、劳动力就业与收入分配: 回顾与展望[J]. 北京工业大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, 20(5): 77-86. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-BGYS202005010.htm
|
[7] |
SCHUMPETER F M. Capitalism, socialism and democracy[M]. New York: Harper & Brothers, 1942: 63-87.
|
[8] |
GALBRAITH J K. American capitalism[M]. Revised edition. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1956: 119-121.
|
[9] |
KAPLAN A D. Big enterprise in a competitive system[M]. Washington: Washington Brooking Institute, 1954: 269.
|
[10] |
BRAGA H, WLⅡMORE L. Technological imports andtechnological effort: an analysis of their determinants in brazilian firms[J]. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 1991, 39(4): 421-432. doi: 10.2307/2098441
|
[11] |
BLUNDELL R, GRIFFITH R, REENEN J V. Dynamic count data models of technological innovation[J]. The Economic Journal, 1995, 105(429): 333-344. doi: 10.2307/2235494
|
[12] |
周黎安, 罗凯. 企业规模与创新: 来自中国省级水平的经验证据[J]. 经济学(季刊), 2005(3): 624-638. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJXU200502003.htm
|
[13] |
FREEMAN C, SOETE L. The economics of industrial innovation[M]. Third edition. London & Washington: Mit Pr, 1997: 227-241.
|
[14] |
SCHERER F M. Firm size, market structure, opportunity, and the output of patented inventions[J]. The American Economic Review, 1965, 55(5): 1097-1125.
|
[15] |
LOEB P D, LIN V. Research and development in the pharmaceutical industry--a specification error approach[J]. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 1977, 26(1): 45-51. doi: 10.2307/2098329
|
[16] |
SOETE L L G. Firmsize and innovation activity[J]. European Economic Review, 1979, 12(4): 319-340. doi: 10.1016/0014-2921(79)90024-2
|
[17] |
朱恒鹏. 企业规模、市场力量与民营企业创新行为[J]. 世界经济, 2006(12): 41-52, 96. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SJJJ200612006.htm
|
[18] |
吴延兵. 创新的决定因素--基于中国制造业的实证研究[J]. 世界经济文汇, 2008(2): 46-58. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SZWH200802006.htm
|
[19] |
聂辉华, 谭松涛, 王宇锋. 创新、企业规模和市场竞争--基于中国企业层面的面板数据分析[J]. 世界经济, 2008(7): 57-66. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SJJJ200807006.htm
|
[20] |
VARIAN H. Artificialintelligence, economics and industrial organization[Z]. NBER Working Paper No. 24839, 2018.
|
[21] |
GILBERT R J, NEWBERY D M G. Preemptive patenting and the persistence of monopoly[J]. The American Economic Review, 1982, 72(3): 514-526.
|
[22] |
JADLOW J M. Newevidence on innovation and market structure[J]. Managerial and Decision Economics, 1981, 2(2): 91-96. doi: 10.1002/mde.4090020205
|
[23] |
KRAFT K. Marketstructure, firm characteristics and innovative activity[J]. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 1989, 37(3): 329-336. doi: 10.2307/2098619
|
[24] |
ARROW K J. Economicwelfare and the allocation of resources for invention[M]//NELSON R R. The rate and direction of inventive activity. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1962: 609-626.
|
[25] |
GEROSKI P A. Marketstructure, corporate performance and innovative activity[M]. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1994: 58-86.
|
[26] |
NICKELL S J. Competition andcorporate performance[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1996, 104(4): 724-746. doi: 10.1086/262040
|
[27] |
BLUNDELLR, GRIFFITH R, REENEN J V. Market share, market value and innovation in a panel of British manufacturing firms[J]. The Review of Economic Studies, 1999, 66(3): 529-554.
|
[28] |
BROADBERRY S, CRAFTS N. Competition andinnovation in 1950's Britain[Z]. Economic History Working Papers 22381, London School of Economics & Political Science, Department of Economic History, 2000.
|
[29] |
LEVIN R C, COHEN W M, MOWERY D C. R & Dappropriability, opportunity and market structure: new evidence on some Schumpeterian Hypotheses[J]. The American Economic Review, 1985, 75(2): 20-24.
|
[30] |
AGHION P, BLOOM N, BLUNDELL R, et al. Competition and innovation: an inverted-U relationship[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2005, 120(2): 701-728.
|
[31] |
寇宗来, 高琼. 市场结构、市场绩效与企业的创新行为--基于中国工业企业层面的面板数据分析[J]. 产业经济研究, 2013(3): 1-11, 110. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-CYJJ201303002.htm
|
[32] |
孙早, 郭林生, 肖利平. 企业规模与企业创新倒U型关系再检验--来自中国战略性新兴产业的经验证据[J]. 上海经济研究, 2016(9): 33-42. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-HSYJ201609005.htm
|
[33] |
余明桂, 范蕊, 钟慧洁. 中国产业政策与企业技术创新[J]. 中国工业经济, 2016(12): 5-22. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GGYY201612002.htm
|
[34] |
安同良, 周绍东, 皮建才. R & D补贴对中国企业自主创新的激励效应[J]. 经济研究, 2009, 44(10): 87-98, 120.
|
[35] |
毛其淋, 许家云. 政府补贴对企业新产品创新的影响--基于补贴强度"适度区间"的视角[J]. 中国工业经济, 2015(6): 94-107. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GGYY201506009.htm
|
[36] |
黎文靖, 郑曼妮. 实质性创新还是策略性创新--宏观产业政策对微观企业创新的影响[J]. 经济研究, 2016, 51(4): 60-73. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JJYJ201604005.htm
|
[37] |
FARRELL J, SALONER G. Installedbase and compatibility: innovation, product preannouncements, and predation[J]. The American Economic Review, 1986, 76(5): 940-955.
|
[38] |
POSTREL S. Competing networks and proprietary standards: the case of quadraphonic sound[J]. Journal of Industrial Economics, 1990, 39(2): 169-185.
|
[39] |
陈小亮, 陈彦彬. 发展人工智能的产业政策存在的问题与调整思路[J]. 人文杂志, 2019(11): 25-32. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-RWZZ201911004.htm
|
[40] |
宋伟, 夏辉. 地方政府人工智能产业政策文本量化研究[J]. 科技管理研究, 2019, 39(10): 192-199. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KJGL201910027.htm
|
本刊相关文献链接:
|
|
[1] |
金碚. 网络信息产业的组织特征与规则逻辑——域观视角下的观察与思考[J]. 北京工业大学学报(社会科学版), 2021(4): 1-11.
|
[2] |
吕峻, 胡洁. 企业创新融资理论和实证研究综述[J]. 北京工业大学学报(社会科学版), 2021(3): 80-94.
|
[3] |
李明德, 邝岩. 大数据与人工智能背景下的网络舆情治理: 作用、风险和路径[J]. 北京工业大学学报(社会科学版), 2021(6): 1-10.
|
[1] | GUO Chaoxian, LIU Qi. Promoting the Construction of Modern Industrial Systems Through Strengthening the Foundational Position of Competition Policy[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2024, 24(5): 44-54. DOI: 10.12120/bjutskxb202405044 |
[2] | WU Jun, ZHANG Shulan, FANG Xiangjing. Quantifying the Coordination of Industrial Internet System: A Local Government Policy Text Computational Investigation[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2023, 23(4): 106-117. DOI: 10.12120/bjutskxb202304106 |
[3] | ZHANG Jingwen, TONG Jinyao. Digital Economy Industrial Policy, Market Competition and Enterprise Innovation Quality[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2023, 23(1): 125-136. DOI: 10.12120/bjutskxb202301125 |
[4] | LI Cheng, LIU Zikou, YUAN Jingwen. Monetary Policy Regulation and Bank Risk-Taking Capacity Under Complex Economic Environment[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2022, 22(6): 135-152. DOI: 10.12120/bjutskxb202206135 |
[5] | LI Junfu. The Origin and New Changes of China's Productivity-biased Housing Policy: A Research Based on Talent Housing Policy[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2022, 22(4): 151-160. DOI: 10.12120/bjutskxb202204151 |
[6] | LIU Jiejiao. The Dilemma of U.S. Manufacturing Recovery and Its Enlightenments: An Analysis of the Failure of Protectionist Policies[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2020, 20(5): 12-22. DOI: 10.12120/bjutskxb20200512 |
[7] | GUO Xia, PIAO Guang-ji. Timely Intervention, Market Reconstruction and Collaborative Innovation: An Analysis of Auto Industrial Policy of the Obama Administration[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2016, 16(3): 36-41. |
[8] | CAI Ying-hui. Policy Clearance and Policy Integration: A Study Based on Network Governance[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2012, 12(3): 45-50. |
[9] | LI Qiong, ZONG Gang, XIE Zhuo-ran. Tariff Protection Theory and Positive Analysis in Strategie Trade Policy[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2004, 4(3): 1-4. |
[10] | WU Jing-hua, RUAN Ping-nan. Analysis on the Incentive Effects of Two Policy Instruments on Cleaner Production Enterprises[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2003, 3(4): 32-35. |