109国道宁夏石中段交通事故多发点研究
Study on Black Spots on Shizuishan-Zhongning Section of National Highway 109 in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region
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摘要: 采用系统分析方法对109国道石中段进行交通事故多发点研究;通过对事故历史资料的调查与统计分析,找出了适合本路段的黑点鉴别方法——事故累计频率法,利用此方法得到最佳拟合曲线——LOGARITHMIC曲线。分析结果表明,事故累积频率突变点位于62%~63%,事故数的临界值为5次;根据典型性研究的需要,鉴定了石中段上的27个黑点(段),并对事故成因进行了相关分析。Abstract: The systematic analysis method was adopted to analyze the black spots on Shizuishan-Zhongning section of national highway. Through the investigation and statistical analysis of the accident data in history, the authors have found the distinquishing method of black point-the accident accumulation frequency method(AAFM), and used this method to obtain the optimum fitting curve-Logarithmic curve. The analysis results show that the abrupt point of AAF is in 62%-63% and the critical number of accidents is 5. For the need of typical research, 27 black points on the sz section are distinquished and the contributing factors of accidents are analyzed.