多变量线性离散随机系统输出多步预报的逐次单步实现法
Multi-step Ahead Prediction of the Multivariable Linear Discrete Stochastic System Output in Succesive One-step Manner
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摘要: 提出一种新型的多变量线性离散随机系统输出的多步预报法,即重复利用系统模型本身的一步预报关系,依次得出多个预报值。这种方法与多变量递推求解丢番方程实现多步预报的现有方法是等效的,具有计算最小、编程简洁的优点,已成功地用于广义预报控制中。Abstract: This paper gives a new multi-step ahead prediction method for the multivariable linear discrete stochastic system output. The multi-step predictions are obtained by succesively employing the one-step ahead prediction relationship included in the system model itself. This new method is equivalent to the existing multivariable prediction method via recursion of diophantine equations. It possesses the advatages both in greatly reducing computational effort and simplifying programming, and has been successfully used in the generalized predictive control.