公路投资对区域经济增长的空间溢出效应

    Spatial Spillover Effect of Highway Investment on Regional Economic Growth

    • 摘要: 针对公路单一种类基础设施投资对经济增长的影响研究,为制定合理的公路相关宏观投资政策和规划提供理论基础.以基于公路投资额的省际公路基础设施资本存量测算结果为基础,以Boarnet模型为理论模型,采用空间计量经济学研究方法,建立反映公路投资对经济发展影响的空间面板杜宾模型,并进行直接效应和空间溢出效应的估计.结果表明,公路基础设施投资具有显著的正向空间溢出效应,公路投资不但有利于区域经济增长,也会极大地促进相关区域经济发展.因此,制定公路发展规划和相关政策时,应结合整体区域发展规划统筹考虑.

       

      Abstract: Research on the impact of a single type of highway infrastructure investment on economic growth can provide a theoretical basis for formulating reasonable highway-related macro investment policies and plans. Based on highway infrastructure capital stocks based on provincial highway investment amounts, using the Boarnet model as a theoretical model, and using spatial econometric research methods, a spatial panel Durbin model was established to reflect the impact of provincial highway investment on economic development, and direct effects and spatial spillover effects were estimated. Results show that highway infrastructure investment has a significant positive spatial spillover effect. Highway investment not only benefits regional economic growth, but also significantly promotes the development of related regional economies. Therefore, highway development planning and related policies should be considered in conjunction with the overall regional development planning.

       

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