Abstract:
To continuously and efficiently learn the constantly generated flight information and improve the efficiency of flight delay prediction model to learn new arrival data, an incremental learning algorithm based on classification and regression tree (CART) was proposed by using ensemble learning ideas. First, incremental classification and regression tree (I-CART) incremental learning algorithms were implemented by combining CART algorithm with Learn++ algorithm. Then, based on the relationship between the difference and accuracy of basic classifiers, and the prediction rate of I-CART algorithm was improved by using the selective ensemble algorithm proposed in this paper. Finally, the incremental learning algorithm was applied to flight delay prediction. Results show that the incremental learning algorithm of flight dynamic information effectively improves the prediction performance of the model.