中国“新基建”:概念、现状与问题

    China's New Infrastructure Construction: Concepts, Current Situations and Problems

    • 摘要: 回顾了历次中央和国家重要会议对“新基建”的表述,梳理了几种典型的有关中国“新基建”表述,主要有“七大领域说”“三个方面说”“新技术驱动说”“新要素说”;指出“新基建”范围有广义和狭义之分,狭义的“新基建”包括5G网络、人工智能、工业互联网、物联网、数据中心、充电桩这6个领域,广义的“新基建”范围除了狭义的“新基建”外,还包括利用新一代信息技术对传统基础设施的改造升级,即传统基础设施的数字化改造。基于文献和新闻报道梳理,认为当前中国“新基建”(狭义口径)投资规模约为1万亿元,约占全社会固定资产投资的1.8%;预计未来5年内,“新基建”投资总规模将达到10万亿元。尽管中国“新基建”规模巨大,但在发展中也存在一些不容忽视的问题,主要体现在关键核心技术能力不足、技术路线不确定风险、网络和信息安全、投融资机制不畅和结构失衡等方面。未来应综合运用产业政策、财政政策、融资政策、技术创新政策、监管政策,以此促进“新基建”高质量发展;产业政策由支持特定企业发展向构建安全产业生态、丰富服务场景转型;财政政策要注重发挥财政资金引导作用,优化财政资金支出结构;融资政策要注重大力吸引社会资本参与,构建多元化的融资体系;技术创新政策要支持关键核心技术攻关,推进“政产学研用”相结合的协同创新体系建设;监管政策要坚持“包容审慎”原则,推进国家质量基础设施建设。

       

      Abstract: This paper reviews the statements of new infrastructure construction made by the Chinese Central Government on several important conferences, and sorts out several typical interpretations on new infrastructure construction, with various focuses on "seven major fields", "three aspects", "new technology drive" and "new elements". It is pointed out that the scope of "new infrastructure" can be defined in broad and narrow senses. The one in the narrow sense mainly includes six areas:5 G network, artificial intelligence, industrial internet, internet of things, data center and charging pile; while the one in the broad sense includes not only those in the narrow sense, but also the transformation and upgrading of traditional infrastructure by using the new generation of information technologies, that is, the digital transformation of traditional infrastructure. Based on literature reviews and news reports, this paper holds that the current investment scale of new infrastructure construction (in the narrow sense) in China is about 1 trillion yuan RMB, accounting for 1.8% of the total fixed asset investment of the whole society; it is expected that its total investment scale will reach 10 trillion yuan RMB in the next five years. Despite its huge scale, there still remains some problems that cannot be ignored in the current development, mainly the lack of key core technical capacity, risks of uncertain technical routes, network and information security issues, poor investment and financing mechanism and structural imbalance. In the future, the comprehensive use of policies concerning industry, finance, technological innovation, regulation, and fiscal policy, is needed to promote the high-quality development of new infrastructure. Industrial policies should be transformed from supporting the development of specific enterprises to constructing a safe industrial ecology and enriching service scenes; fiscal ones should focus on giving full play to the guiding role of fiscal capital and optimizing the structure of fiscal capital expenditure; financing ones should focus on attracting more social capital to participate and construct a diversified financing system; technological innovation ones should support the key core technologies and promote the construction of a cooperative innovation system combining "government, company, university, research institute and application"; regulatory policies should adhere to the principle of "inclusiveness and prudence" and promote the construction of national quality infrastructure construction.

       

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