产业转移视角下的中美贸易不平衡实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Sino-US Trade Imbalance in the View of Industry Transference

摘要: 针对近年来中美贸易日趋严重的不平衡问题,通过产业转移的相关理论与协整的方法,说明引起中美贸易不平衡的主要原因是产业转移。具体说,作为产业转移的微观层面的表现——美对华的直接投资以及东亚地区对中国的产业转移是造成中美贸易不平衡的原因。

Abstract: Recently Sino-US trade imbalance has become more serious than before.This paper shows that the transferring of industry is the main reason of trade imbalance by both industry transference theory and co-integration analysis method.FDI-as the micro-appearance of US transferring to China and the transference of industries in East-Asia countries cause and drive the trade imbalance.