“一带一路”建设政治环境评估的思路与方法——基于泰国与印度尼西亚的案例分析

    Research Method of Political Environment Assessment in One Belt One Road: Based on the Case Study of Thailand and Indonesia

    • 摘要: 为推进“一带一路”建设战略支点的选择与建构,应加强对象国的政治环境研究,并在此基础上做好政治风险防范。从国家发展模式的开放性与稳定性、政治权力结构的协调性与有效性、外交自主性以及文化包容性等6项指标出发,对21世纪海上丝绸之路的潜在战略支点泰国与印度尼西亚的政治环境进行分析,并提出构造多层次全方位的“一带一路”交流与合作网络,将有助于改善政治环境和降低政治风险。

       

      Abstract: It is important to strengthen the political environment assessment of the target countries, in order to prevent political risks effectively, and promote the selection and construction of strategic fulcrum in One Belt One Road. This paper adopts 6 indicators, including the openness and stability of national development model, the coordination and effectiveness of political power structure, the independence of diplomacy, and the inclusive of culture, to analyze the political environment of Thailand and Indonesia, which are the potential strategic fulcrum of 21st Century Maritime Silk Road. This paper suggests that, it will be helpful to improve the political environment and reduce the political risks by constructing a full range and multi-level communication & coordination network of One Belt One Road.

       

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