“一带一路”战略中的政治风险研究逻辑与方法

    Logic and Methods of Political Risk Study in the Strategy of “One Belt and One Road”

    • 摘要: “一带一路”战略涉及了大量的政府合作、政策对接和人文合作的内容,需要政治学研究者对沿线国家和地区进行认真的政治分析。基于政治学的基本研究框架,将有关研究划分为国家政权、政府决策和地缘政治3个层次,梳理了涉及政权安全、政府政策和政治危机等议题的研究逻辑,初步搭建起解决相关问题的研究方法。提出利用历史比较方法研究有关国家的基本制度和国情,在政府政策分析中采用制度分析法和功能结构主义方法,使用比较政治方法和国际政治的方法来分析国际和地区因素。通过初步搭建起一个政治研究的框架,为今后的“一带一路”战略政治研究提供有益的经验。

       

      Abstract: “Belt and Road” strategy involves a large amount of government cooperation, policy docking and cultural cooperation, so political science researchers need to make political analysis on these countries and regions. Based on the basic research framework of political science, the relevant study is divided into three levels: state power, government decision-making and geopolitical, summarizing the logic of regime security, government policies and political crisis issues, and beginning to set up the research method of solving the problems related. It is recommended that we use the historical comparative methods to study the basic systems and the national conditions, use the system analysis and structure functionalism in the study of the government policy, use the international political theory to analyze the international and regional factors. The preliminary political framework is built for the future research, to provide useful experience for the political and strategic studies on “The Belt and Road”.

       

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