人工智能国际竞争对就业的影响

    The Impact of International Artificial Intelligence Competition on Employment

    • 摘要: 近年来,以大语言模型为代表的人工智能技术获得广泛应用,在极大地提高生产效率的同时,也对就业形成巨大的挑战。人工智能对就业的影响不仅取决于其技术进步的程度、应用的广度和深度,人工智能的国际竞争对就业也具有直接和间接的影响。在直接影响方面,人工智能在替代原有就业岗位的同时,也具有就业创造效应,因此,人工智能发展快、更具有竞争力的国家,创造的相关新就业岗位更多,通过将人工智能技术及相关产品出口还会带动更多就业岗位的增加。在间接影响方面,人工智能的要素替代效应会改变各国资源禀赋和比较优势,产业重构效应会使产品架构、产业链结构发生改变,有利于人工智能水平高的国家保持和增强产业竞争力,进而带来国家间产出规模与相关行业就业岗位的此消彼长。为应对人工智能对就业的影响,建议加强人工智能科技创新、加快人工智能产业发展、推动人工智能技术深度应用、加强人工智能人才供给。

       

      Abstract: In recent years, artificial intelligence technologies represented by large language models have been widely applied, greatly improving production efficiency while also posing significant challenges to employment. The impact of artificial intelligence on employment depends not only on the degree of technological progress, breadth and depth of its applications, but also on the international competition in artificial intelligence. In terms of direct impact, while artificial intelligence replaces existing job positions, it also has a job creation effect. Therefore, countries with faster and more competitive development of artificial intelligence will create more related new job positions. Exporting artificial intelligence technologies and related products will also create more job positions. In terms of indirect impact, the factor substitution effect of artificial intelligence will change the resource endowments and comparative advantages of the countries, while the industrial restructuring effect will cause changes in product architecture and industrial chain structure, which is conducive to countries with high levels of artificial intelligence to maintain and enhance their industrial competitiveness, thereby bringing about a shift in industrial output and employment opportunities among countries. To address the impact of artificial intelligence on employment, it is recommended to strengthen innovation in artificial intelligence technologies, accelerate the development of the artificial intelligence industry, promote the deep application of artificial intelligence technologies, and strengthen the supply of artificial intelligence talents.

       

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