机器人、人工智能对中国劳动力市场的效应及异质性分析

    Analysis of the Effects and Heterogeneity of Robots and Artificial Intelligence on China's Labor Market

    • 摘要: 机器人、人工智能新技术革命已经使经济发展和劳动力市场发生了革命性的变化。采用2016—2018年中国企业-员工匹配调查数据,使用工具变量法实证分析机器人、人工智能新技术应用对中国劳动力市场的效应及异质性影响。研究发现,相较于未使用机器人技术的企业,引进机器人的企业中各类员工占比有明显差异,技术研发人员占比相对高出5%,生产工人占比相对降低14%。使用机器人技术的企业员工工资相对更高,尽管生产工人占比相对较低,但平均工资回报依然实现了显著提升,平均高出15.7%。异质性分析揭示了这一差异背后的原因,具备较高教育水平、较高认知与沟通技能的员工在机器人技术应用中更满足企业采用新技术的需求,并显著提升了自身的工资回报。研究结论为中国劳动力市场适应机器人、人工智能新技术革命提供了相关政策应对的启示。

       

      Abstract: The new technological revolution of robotics and artificial intelligence has revolutionized economic development and the labor market. This paper empirically analyzes the effects and heterogeneity of the application of new technologies of robotics and artificial intelligence on China's labor market using the instrumental variables method with data from the China employer-employee matching survey. The study finds that compared with firms that do not use robotics, there is a significant difference in the proportion of employees of various categories in firms that introduce robots, with the proportion of technology research and development personnel being relatively 5% higher and the proportion of production workers being relatively 14% lower. Employees in firms using robotics are relatively better paid, and despite the relatively lower share of production workers, average wage returns still realize a significant increase, averaging 15.7% higher. Heterogeneity analysis reveals the reason behind this difference, as employees with higher education levels and higher cognitive and communication skills in robotics are more responsive to the needs of firms adopting new technologies and significantly increase their own wage returns. The findings of this paper provide insights into relevant policy responses for China's labor market to adapt to the new technological revolution of robotics and artificial intelligence.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回