中国式现代化进程中的居民消费结构转型

    Transformation of Citizen Consumption Structure in the Process of Chinese Modernization

    • 摘要: 在推进中国式现代化的新征程中,消费现代化是重要组成部分之一,关系到民生福祉,关系到满足人民群众对美好生活的需求,其也将有力推动经济社会现代化。从消费结构的维度,使用国家统计局数据和中国社会状况综合调查(CSS),分析中国现代化进程中的消费变迁。研究发现:(1)1981年以来,中国居民消费支出持续增长,恩格尔系数快速下降,服务消费显著增长,发展型消费持续增长;(2)2010年之后,中国消费增速放缓,平均消费倾向呈下降趋势,显著低于主要发达国家,反映了中国消费不足的问题;(3)居住类支出和集体消费型支出占比较高,医疗、教育、养老等消费稳定占据家庭总支出1/5左右,挤压了其他消费;(4)高收入群体的消费增长幅度最大,低收入群体的生活水平偏低,但是城乡间和阶层间的消费差距在缩小;(5)居民文化娱乐消费不足,与发达国家存在较大差距。以消费结构为线索,阐释中国推进消费现代化的发展特征和趋势,为构建消费现代化和高质量消费指标体系积累了经验分析基础,也为推进消费现代化的实践提出重要政策启示。

       

      Abstract: In advancing Chinese modernization, consumption modernization is one of the vital component, directly linked to public welfare, the fulfillment of people's aspirations for a better life, and the robust promotion of socioeconomic modernization. This paper focuses on consumption structures, using data from National Bureau of Statistics and Chinese Social Survey (CSS) to analyze changes in consumption during China's modernization process. Key findings include: (1) Since 1981, household consumption expenditure in China has consistently increased, the Engel's Coefficient has rapidly decreased, service consumption has grown significantly, and the consumption for development has continued to expand; (2) Since 2010, the growth rate of consumption has slowed, and the average propensity to consume has trended downward, significantly lower than that of major developed countries, highlighting an issue of insufficient consumption in China; (3) Spending on housing and collective consumption remains relatively high, with collective consumption experditure accounting for roughly one-fifth of total household expenditure, which constrains other consumption; (4) Consumption growth among the high-income group has been the most substantial, while the living standards of the low-income group remain lower; however, recent years have seen a narrowing of consumption gaps between urban and rural areas and across social classes; (5) Cultural and recreational consumption remains limited, with a significant gap compared to that in developed countries. The findings provide insights into the characteristics and trends of China's progress toward consumption modernization by examining consumption structure, laying an analytical foundation for establishing a modern and high-quality consumption indicator system and offering important policy implications for the practical advancement of consumption modernization.

       

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