中国城市发展质量测算与动力机制研究

    Research on the Measurement and Dynamic Mechanism of China′s Urban Development Quality

    • 摘要: 以城市高质量发展内涵为切入点,基于创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享的新发展理念构建城市发展质量测算体系,选取中国284个城市2005—2018年的数据为样本,采用纵横向拉开档次法,测算城市发展质量指数,进而围绕测算指数分析城市发展质量的时空演变与区域差异,并构建SDM模型分析政府与市场两个主体对城市发展质量的驱动作用及空间效应。研究发现:(1)当前中国的城市发展质量整体呈现稳步上升趋势和“东强西弱”的格局,且发展不平衡现象突出;(2)中国城市发展质量存在显著的正向空间溢出效应,且质量相近的城市在空间上具有聚集特征;(3)政府对城市发展质量提升起到了促进作用,而市场对城市发展质量提升的促进作用不显著,且这一机制对不同质量维度起到的作用存在差异;(4)政府与市场对城市发展质量均产生了正向的空间溢出效应,但针对个别质量维度的检验结果存在负向效应。

       

      Abstract: Taking the connotation of high-quality urban development as the starting point, this paper constructs an urban development quality measurement system based on the new development concepts of innovation, coordination, greenness, openness and sharing. Selecting the data of 284 cities in China from 2005 to 2018 as the sample, it uses the vertical and horizontal extension method to measure the urban development quality index. It then analyzes the temporal and spatial evolution and regional differences of urban development quality around the measurement index, and constructs an SDM model to analyze the driving role and spatial effects of the two main bodies of the government and the market on the urban development quality. The research found that: (1) At present, the overall quality of China′s urban development is showing a steady upward trend and a pattern of "strong east and weak west", and the phenomenon of uneven development is prominent; (2) China′s urban development quality has a significant positive spatial spillover effect, and cities of similar quality have spatial agglomeration characteristics; (3) The government has played a role in promoting the quality of urban development, while the market′s role in promoting the quality of urban development is not significant, and this mechanism has different effects on different quality dimensions; (4) Both the government and the market have a positive spatial spillover effect on the quality of urban development, but the test results for individual quality dimensions have a negative effect.

       

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