中国绿色经济转型评价及驱动因素研究

    Research on Green Economy Transition Assessment and Driving Factors in China

    • 摘要: 新发展阶段绿色经济转型是应对环境气候变化问题、提高资源效率及消除贫困的有效途径。通过回顾国内外有关绿色经济转型评估的研究,从经济包容发展、环境资源质量、绿色转型潜力三个纬度,提出绿色经济转型评价理论,构建绿色经济转型指数的核心指标体系,并估算了2000—2016年中国及30个省(自治区、直辖市)绿色经济转型指数,利用面板数据模型分析绿色转型潜力的驱动因素。研究发现,中国绿色经济转型水平区域特征明显,绝大部分地区绿色转型水平呈提高态势,各地区绿色转型存在较大的提升空间,但是经济社会环境的协调性对转型水平影响是巨大的;提升绿色经济转型动能的主要驱动因素在于绿色创新、吸引外资水平以及公众的绿色环保认知。提出关注地区绿色转型“短板”要素;重视环境资源质量;强调绿色创新的关键作用等政策建议。

       

      Abstract: The transition to green economy in the new development stage is an effective way to deal with environmental and climate change issues, improve resource efficiency, and eliminate poverty. On the basis of reviewing domestic and foreign researches on green economy transition assessment, this paper proposes a green economy transition assessment theory from three perspectives: economic inclusive development, environmental resource quality, and green transition potential, and develops a core indicator system for the green economy transition index. It also estimates the national and regional GETI from 2000 to 2016, using the panel data model to analyze the driving factors of the green transition potential. This study has found the following conclusions: (1) China′ s green economy transition level has obvious regional characteristics; (2) The GETIs in most regions is increasing; (3) There is a large space for improvement in the green transition of each region; (4) The coordination of the economic and social environment has a huge impact on the level of transformation; (5) The main driving factors for the green economy transition are green innovation, foreign direct investment, and the public awareness of green environmental protection. In the end, the author has offered policy recommendations such as focusing on the "short-board" elements of regional green transformation, attaching importance to the quality of environmental resources, and emphasizing on the key role of green innovation.

       

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