中国生产性服务贸易的现状、影响因素及发展研究——基于出口技术复杂度的分析

    Development of Producer Service Trade in China: Analysis Based on Export Technology Complexity

    • 摘要: 生产性服务业联结了制造业与服务业,在服务贸易中属于知识与服务密集型较为高端的部分,其发展对于提升中国在全球价值链中的位置有着重要作用。中国生产性服务贸易总体呈现出上升的趋势,但是受经济增长的影响较大,容易随之出现周期性波动,且目前以中低技术复杂度的出口为主。基于出口技术复杂度与发达国家和金砖国家分别进行比较,发现中国的生产性服务贸易仍处于成长期,在全球贸易中处于中低端地位,仍有很大的发展空间。通过对中国与美国、日本、英国、卢森堡、俄罗斯、巴西、南非和印度2005—2017年的面板数据分析,证实了提高中国生产性服务贸易出口技术复杂度的关键在于激发企业创新能力、营造持续平稳增长的经济环境以及提高人力资本积累。

       

      Abstract: Producer service industry connects manufacturing industry and service industry, and it belongs to the high-end part of knowledge and service intensive in the service trade. Its development plays an important role in promoting China's position in the global value chain. Generally, China's producer service trade shows an upward trend, but affected by economic growth, it is prone to cyclical fluctuations. At present, China's exports mainly focus on the low and medium technology complexity. Based on the comparison of export technology complexity with those of developed countries and BRICs countries, it is found that China's producer service trade is still in the growth stage, in the middle and low end of the Global trade, and there is still a large space for development. Through the panel data analysis of China and the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom, Luxembourg, Russia, Brazil, South Africa and India from 2005 to 2017, it is confirmed that the key to improve the technical complexity of China's producer service trade is to stimulate the innovation ability of enterprises, create an economic environment for sustained and stable growth, and improve the accumulation of human capital.

       

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