中国迈向高质量发展的人力资本差距——基于人力资本结构和配置效率的视角

    China's Human Capital Gap in High-quality Development——Based on the Perspective of Human Capital Structure and Allocation Efficiency

    • 摘要: 在供给侧结构性改革推动下,中国要实现以创新驱动为主导的经济高质量发展,需要重视人才的培养和有效利用。通过国际比较发现,经济体由低收入阶段向高收入阶段的演进过程,通常伴随着人力资本的梯度升级;追赶成功的经济体依次经历了初级人力资本的“倒U型”变动、中级人力资本的“倒U型”变动、最终达成高层次人力资本对高质量发展的主导;增长跨越的关键节点既与瓶颈突破,也与人力资本结构变动相关联;跨越贫困陷阱的时点往往处于初级教育普及且占比出现下降的拐点处,中等收入陷阱跨越与中等教育的普及并行,同时高层次教育劳动者占比逐渐上升。目前中国人力资本结构的主要问题是,中低层次劳动力比重较大、人力资本配置不合理、知识消费占比较低及提升缓慢等,并越来越成为阻碍迈向高质量发展的因素。未来中国应强化以市场需求为导向的人才培养模式,提升人力资本积累效率和配置效率,从而为创新发展和高质量发展蓄积力量;建议规范和加强劳动者的职业技能培训,推动产、学、研深度融合进程,加快与人力资本积累有关的服务业的市场化改革,提高政府资源用于教育、医疗等公共福利的支出等。

       

      Abstract: The essence of economic catch-up is talent catch-up and the upgrading of human capital structure. Driven by supply-side structural reform, to achieve high-quality economic development driven by innovation, attentions need to be paid to the cultivation and effective use of talents. In this article, through the international comparison, the economy by the evolution of low-income stage to high income one will be accompanied by gradient upgrading of human capital structure after economic success, and these are the changes of primary human capital "inverted U" to intermediate level of human capital "inverted U", and always accompanied by the high-level human capital accumulation and ascend. The key node for an economy to achieve growth leapfrog is also related to the changes in the human capital structure. The time when a country crosses the poverty trap is usually at the inflection point when the proportion of primary education begins to decline, while the time when it successfully crosses the middle income trap lags behind the inflection point when the proportion of secondary education declines. At present, China's primary education level is approaching saturation, and the labor force structure is dominated by middle-education workers. The middle-education level remains to be improved, while the proportion of senior education workers is relatively low and grows slow. At the same time, the unreasonable allocation of human capital, the distortion of factor remuneration, the low proportion of knowledge consumption and the stagnant growth have become obstacles to the deepening reform of human capital in China. In the future, China should strengthen the market-oriented talent training model, improve the efficiency of human capital accumulation and allocation, and thus accumulate power for innovation and high-quality development. Specifically, the paper concludes:standardizing and strengthening vocational skills training for secondary education workers; promoting the deep integration of production, learning, and research; accelerating the market-oriented reform of knowledge-intensive service industries related to human capital accumulation; increasing government resources for public welfare expenditure of education and medical care.

       

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