中国居民消费平滑的风险分担机制研究

    Study on Risk Sharing Mechanism of Household Consumption Smoothing in China: An Empirical Study Based on CFPS

    • 摘要: 利用中国家庭追踪调查面板数据,实证分析居民消费平滑的风险分担机制。研究发现,户主的就业、健康程度提高均能促进中国居民消费的风险分担;家庭规模抑制居民消费的风险分担,具有城镇户口的家庭风险分担程度高于农村户籍家庭,中国东部省份的家庭风险分担程度高于中西部省份的家庭;随着消费支出的增加,居民实现消费平滑的程度越高,户主的就业状态、健康程度与家庭规模对较低消费支出的家庭有显著的风险分担作用。为了推动中国居民消费的健康发展,应该增强消费对经济发展的基础作用,落实精准扶贫,促进城乡、区域间的平衡发展;完善社会保障体系,拓宽就业渠道,提高居民的就业率和健康水平。

       

      Abstract: Using the data of China Family Panel Studies, this paper analyzes the effect and influence about the method of Chinese resident achieving risk sharing and consumption smoothing. The evidences suggest that the residents on some degree achieve consumption smoothing through risk sharing. The study indicates that the employment and health of household can promote the risk sharing of household consumption and the family size restrains the risk sharing of household consumption. The degree of family risk sharing with urban household registration is higher than that of rural household registration. The degree of family risk sharing in the developed eastern provinces is higher than that in the central and western regions. Furthermore, with the increase of consumption expenditure, the level of consumption smoothing of residents is higher. Employment and health status and family size of household heads have significant risk-sharing effects on households with lower consumption expenditure. Therefore, in order to promote China to achieve a well-off society in an all-round way and improve the consumption ability and smoothness, we should promote the balanced development between the urban and rural areas and between regions, implement the accurate poverty alleviation, improve the social security system, broaden employment channels, enhance the employment rate and improve the health of residents.

       

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